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Showing posts from November, 2022

Fantasy Football: What Went Wrong and Musings on Wide Receiver Value Relative to Quarterbacks

I am usually pretty competitive in my fantasy football leagues, but there have been a few leagues where the results have been far more disappointing.  One of the reasons for that is because I allowed myself to get caught up in the hype of certain players -- players that were expected to "take off" and "take over."  I let myself get swept away with the Twitter masses, as we all flocked to an inevitable fantasy football death.   It took me a few weeks of the season to realize what had gone wrong, but boy, when I figured it out, I felt like such a noob.  Let's dive in, diagnose what happened, and see what options we have to get out of it. My mistake :  I targeted highly-talented receivers ... with ambiguous or questionable quarterback play. As I have learned this season, there is only so much a receiver can do to overcome his team's overall circumstances and context.  As we know by now, quarterback play this season has been generally down .  We have a few elite

Fantasy Baseball: A revised approach to Fernando Tatis in dynasty contexts

  A few weeks ago, I wrote about the case for going all in on Fernando Tatis.  I wrote that article before it was announced that he was scheduled to have shoulder surgery.  Since then, we have the even more information that pushes us, or should push us, in a direction to being all-in on Fernando Tatis.  However, before we begin, a caveat. The old paradigm is changing .   Fernando Tatis is an excellent all-around player and arguably, his value has been inflated by both his ability to contribute to power counting stats, but also stolen base numbers.  In the past, a significant premium was placed on a player like that, but what remains to be seen is whether we will continue to place such a premium on players that fit within the Tatis mold.  Why? Well, changes are coming.  While we are still in the process of understanding some rule changes for 2023, we do know two things:  significant rules have been changed and those changes in the minor leagues have given us some important data.  So, fi